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A/B Testing

Algorithms

Analytics

Machine Learning

Probability

Product Metrics

Python

Statistics

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The probability that it will rain tomorrow is dependent on whether or not it is raining today and whether or not it rained yesterday.

If it rained yesterday and today, there is a 20% chance it will rain tomorrow. If it rained one of the days, there is a 60% chance it will rain tomorrow. If it rained neither today nor yesterday, there is a 20% chance it will rain tomorrow.

Given that it is raining today and that it rained yesterday, write a function <code>rain_days</code> to calculate the probability that it will rain on the nth day after today.

Example:

Input:

<pre tabindex="0" class="chroma"><code>n=5
</code></pre>

Output:

<pre tabindex="0" class="chroma"><code>def rain_days(n) -&gt; 0.39968
</code></pre>

Given that it is raining today and that it rained yesterday, write a function to calculate the probability that it will rain on the nth day after today.

Rain in N Days

Let’s say that your company is running a standard control and variant AB test on a feature to increase conversion rates on the landing page. The PM checks the results and finds a .04 p-value.

How would you assess the validity of the result?

Experiment Validity

You are testing hundreds of hypotheses with many t-tests. What considerations should be made?

What is a key disadvantage of the F-test when compared to multiple t-tests?

What is a key disadvantage of the F-test when compared to multiple t-tests?

Hundreds of Hypotheses

You are testing hundreds of hypotheses with many t-tests. What considerations should be made?

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